SADC region to receive normal to above normal rainfall

news-image

Southern Times Writer

The bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for most of the period October to December (OND) 2019, regional climate and weather experts have predicted.

In their forecast after the 23rd annual Southern Africa Region Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-23) in Luanda, Angola, last week, the experts, however, predicted that northern Mozambique, southern Tanzania, Northern Malawi, northernmost Zambia, bulk of DRC, north-western half of Angola, northern Madagascar and Comoros are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. 

“The January to March (JFM) 2020 period is likely to have normal to above normal rainfall for most parts of the region. However, the eastern half of Tanzania, eastern half of Botswana, western-most parts of Namibia, bulk of South Africa, bulk of Mozambique, southern Malawi, eastern Lesotho, central Zambia, southernmost Madagascar, south-western most Angola, Eswatini and Zimbabwe are more likely to receive normal to below normal rainfall,” they said.

SARCOF-23 was to present a consensus outlook for the 2019/2020 rainfall season over the SADC region. Climate scientists from the SADC National Meteorological and/or Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the SADC Climate Services Centre (CSC) formulated the outlook.

This outlook covers the major rainfall season from October 2019 to March 2020. The outlook is presented in overlapping three-monthly periods as follows: October-November-December (OND); November-December-January (NDJ); December-January-February (DJF); and January- February-March (JFM).

The climate scientists took into account oceanic and atmospheric factors that influence climate over the SADC region, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) which is currently in its neutral phase. The ENSO is projected to continue in the neutral phase during the entire forecast period. Additional inputs were considered from other global climate prediction centres namely European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Beijing Climate Centre (BCC), Météo-France, Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWSNET), International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Korea Meteorological Agency, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and UK Met Office. 

“The period October to March is the main rainfall season over most of Southern Africa. Owing to the differences and evolution patterns in the predominant rainfall-bearing systems, the rainy season has been subdivided into four overlapping three-month periods,” the weather experts said.

LEAVE A COMMENT

Comments

image

Poachers have broken into Botswana’s p Read more...

10 Aug, 2018 at 01:58 PM

image

In a sign that Botswana is likely to cli Read more...

02 Jul, 2018 at 09:26 AM

image

DAR ES SALAAM - DIRECTIVES on online for Read more...

02 Jul, 2018 at 01:24 PM

image

Gaborone - Poachers have broken into Bot Read more...

04 Feb, 2019 at 07:35 AM

image

SADC leaders meeting in Tanzania this we Read more...

19 Aug, 2019 at 01:51 PM

image

Windhoek The Speaker of the National Ass Read more...

01 Jun, 2020 at 03:32 PM

image

The Namibian government has moved to cur Read more...

29 May, 2020 at 12:14 PM

image

Windhoek Namibia’s borders are to rema Read more...

29 May, 2020 at 12:11 PM

image

Windhoek -The African Union Commission D Read more...

29 May, 2020 at 12:09 PM

image

Gaborone-Botswana is puzzled by rising c Read more...

29 May, 2020 at 12:07 PM

image

Windhoek – Namibia’s economic outloo Read more...

29 Oct, 2018 at 02:13 PM

image

Lusaka - Amid myriad criticisms from soc Read more...

14 Dec, 2018 at 06:28 AM

image

FORMER Liberation Movements (FLMs) in So Read more...

16 Sep, 2019 at 12:36 PM

image

Heads of state and ministers who travell Read more...

30 Jul, 2018 at 02:01 PM

image

Windhoek - The European Union National I Read more...

01 Apr, 2019 at 12:33 PM