The Political Science Association of Zambia in collaboration Faraline of the United Kingdom and Media Theory of the United States have released an opinion poll which shows that President Edgar Chagwa Lungu will likely win the 2021 general election with over 44 percent of the vote, followed by UPND’s Mr Hakainde Hichilema with around 30 percent.
The poll was conducted by experts such as Professor Richard Elson from the United Kingdom and Dr Masauso Chirwa of Zambia.
The opinion poll was conducted in five provinces: Copperbelt, Luapula, Eastern, Southern, and Western provinces.
The public polling was done to ascertain which candidate will likely win elections and was conducted by the research team comprising Dr Chirwa, principal investigator Mr Joe Nabwa and Mr Aaron Siwale.
A big number of respondents stated that they would vote for President Lungu because of his policies such as preservation of jobs, massive infrastructure development such as housing units for service personnel, roads hospitals and schools.
They also said President Lungu as a leader of the country, had stabilised the country despite the difficult circumstances such as droughts and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Households in rural areas were pleased with government provision of social services such as Farm Input Support Programme and Social-Cash Transfer. Respondents were also happy with government revival of industries such as Kawambwa Tea Factory and Mununga Banana Factory and the holding of provincial expos.
The respondents were also happy with President Lungu’s promotion of family values.
The project summary concluded that 44.5 percent of Zambians would likely vote for President Edgar Lungu while 30. Percent would vote for opposition leader Mr Hichilema.
President Lungu scored highest in Eastern, Luapula and Copperbelt while Mr Hichilema scored highly in Southern and Western Provinces.
Those that supported Mr Hichilema stated that he was visionary leader with a clear development plan. They also stated that Hichilema had promised to transform the country.
Fifteen percent remained undecided for various reasons.Mr Fred Mmembe of the Socialist Party was leading the rest of the Opposition at three percent followed by Dr Nevers Mumba of the MMD at two percent. – Zambia Reports